News & Information
Jacqui Lambie: Just enough votes to win, not enough votes to lose
1:28pm September 25th, 2013 | 2013 Federal Election | SenateJacqui Lambie has been elected to the Australian Senate as the primary Tasmanian candidate for the Palmer United Party (PUP). Details of the preference flows can be found at the AEC website here.
However, the key break-point in this race was where the Australian Sex Party (ASXP) was beaten by the third ALP candidate by only 244 votes. This leads to an interesting scenario. If 854 informal voters had instead voted for Jacqui Lambie, or for any of the PUP feeder groups, then Jacqui Lambie would have lost the election.
How? Quota would have been raised, leaving the third ALP candidate behind the ASXP candidate. Then, on exclusion of the ALP candidate, and overflow of the Australian Greens candidate, the ASXP would have continued their preference harvest and won the election.
A fair system?
Accessing The Senate Graphs: Live-Updates
6:00pm September 9th, 2013 | 2013 Federal Election | SenateGraphs are available now outlining the current senate make-up and probabilities.
Regular
OverviewDetailed
NSW, VIC & QLD WA, SA, NT, ACT, TASAccessing The House Graphs: Live-Updates
6:00pm September 9th, 2013 | 2013 Federal Election | HouseGraphs are available now outlining the current HoR make-up.
OverviewAccessing The Graphs: Pre-Election Analysis
7:28pm September 1st, 2013 | 2013 Federal Election | SenateGraphs are available now outlining my best estimates of the senate make-up and probabilities.