Analysis Overview

The graphs below outline the live estimates for the most likely parties to fill the 11 seats that are up for election. These will be continuously updated over the next few days as the counting continues.

The first graph below is a count of the current primary votes. The second graph estimates the probable number of seats a given party will win. The third graph is the most likely outcome and the fourth graph gives (horizontally) the probability of a particular Legislative Council breakdown (vertically).